Here we are, championship weekend. This season of college football has been a wild one in a weirdly underwhelming way. I can’t quite put my finger on why I feel disappointed in it. After all, this is a dream season for me. No clear cut dominator outside of Georgia (which still has its biggest test to face today), Clemson stinks, Ohio State stinks, Alabama is very much beatable, just absolute chaos across the college football landscape. It’s perfect. But it feels off in some way. Maybe it’s because our only wave picks this year lasted for 2-4 weeks with UTSA and betting against UConn? Hmm.. that could be it. Maybe it’s because it took until mid-November to see some actual gains on the season. I don’t know, I guess that’s it. Or maybe it’s because we’re not done yet. This is an epic tale and we’re only at the beginning of the third act. That could be it. We need closure to all this chaos. We’re searching for satisfaction. Let’s start by getting some winners on Championship Saturday leading us into the playoff and bowl games.
Big 12 Championship
(9) Baylor @ (5) Oklahoma State: Baylor +6.5/Over 45.5
I mean, this is the Big 12 Championship game and you’re giving me an o/u of 45.5? I don’t even care if I lose this bet, I’ll pay to see good defenses - everyone knows that about me. Baylor has done a tremendous job for the digest this season and that’s really the only reason we’re taking them today. I don’t care for this matchup all too much because I just think the Big 12 is in a sad state right now knowing they may end up not existing in years to come. With that said, it should be a great game with a decent amount on the line (playoff potential) for Oklahoma State. In games like these from teams that are ‘iffy’, I tend to bet on the pressure the kids are feeling. Aka, iffy teams crack under pressure - and the Cowboys have alllll the pressure on them in this game. Baylor can go have some fun, and maybe come out with a title.
Final Score: Baylor 27, Oklahoma State 24
SEC Championship
(1) Georgia @ (3) Alabama: Georgia -6.5
I should be rooting for chaos here but I just truly don’t think Alabama is good enough to beat this team especially with the injuries they have. The Bulldogs smell blood in the water, and they need to get a leg up and take a nice piss on the Crimson Tide’s defense to start here. If they do that - they shouldn’t have a care in the world for the rest of the season… because they should know they’ll stomp anyone they face in the playoff. It would actually be insane if Georgia wins this one and then they have a rematch in the playoffs only for Alabama to come away with the one that really matters… but let’s just take things one step at a time. Bulldogs today.
Final Score: Georgia 32, Alabama 24
American Athletic Championship
(21) Houston @ (4) Cincinnati: Cincinnati -10.5
I was dead wrong about that SMU pick the other week and I refuse to think that mentality here again regardless of this being a title game. Luke Fickell has his dudes ready, that’s really all I need to say about this pick. The Bearcats are going to the college football playoff. If they somehow botch this, it's straight to jail. Illegal to blow it at this point.
Final Score: Cincinnati 35, Houston 21
Big 10 Championship
(2) Michigan @ (13) Iowa: LIVE BET DURING MICHIGAN’S FIRST DRIVE
Wow. Look a that pick. Isn’t it beautiful?
The first live pick for the Digest. Here’s the play.
The current line is -10.5. I don’t like that before kickoff only because Iowa’s defense is that good to keep this game close especially in a big setting.
During Michigan’s first drive, if they come out rolling, like getting 7-8 YPC or have a big play downfield, this line will jump up (before a score) to probably somewhere close to -13.5. If that is the case from what appears to be a successful start to the game for Michigan against this D, take that line under 2TDs before they score.
If, however, Michigan is struggling and maybe is forced to punt on their first drive, this line should drop below 10. If that happens, take it. They should win this game by 10+. It’s really just the half that’s throwing the current line off.
So remember, Michigan first drive - looking good? Take the live before a score up to -13.5. Looking bad? Take the live when it drops below 10. Ready, break!
Final Score: Michigan 27, Iowa 14
ACC Championship
(15) Pittsburgh @ (16) Wake Forest: Pittsburgh -3.5
Kenny Pickett.
Final Score: Pittsburgh 32, Wake Forest 28
Running Record: (130-105-4)
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