3-2. The grind to get back even on the season continues. This morning I woke up, started looking at lines with my coffee and poo like I always do, and made a massive mistake…
Dedicated followers of the Digest will recall, from time to time, I’ll find myself breaking out with awful acne, sporting an overbite, and wearing a fit only meant for Erckle himself. What I’m trying to say is - I transform into a nerd like the line makers in Vegas. This is of course in the spiritual aura sense, not in the true physical form.
Being in the thick of spooky season, I can’t say what happened this morning comes to much of a surprise. While recreating my own organic rendition of the Pickle Back Burger I had for dinner last night (shout out Duffers), my fate for the slate had become sealed. I looked at reverse line movement. Now don’t get me wrong, I think reverse line movement works - a lot. It’s just that whenever I seem to rely on it for a game in the Digest, Vegas just cackles even louder when it doesn’t go my way. With that said, today is officially Reverse Line Movement Saturday. I hate it, you’ll hate it, but I’m too far gone at this point. Just gotta ride the crystal carriage out until it becomes a rotten pumpkin… which could be by 3pm. Reverse Reverse!
Kansas @ Baylor: Under 58.5
Haha. An Under to start. Don’t you just hate that?
Line opens: 61.5
Majority of bets: 77% on the over
Line movement: Reverse 3 points
Under.
Final Score: Baylor 27, Kansas 17
West Virginia @ Texas Tech: Under 65.5
This game should normally go over 100. I hate this pick. I hate Reverse Line Movement.
Line opens: 72
Majority of bets: 84% on the over
Line movement: Reverse 6.5 points
Under.
Final Score: Texas Tech 35, West Virginia 27
(9) UCLA @ (10) Oregon: Oregon -6
God I hate Oregon. So goddamn much. They never get it done for us. Ever. Never in the history of ever. But it’s Reverse Line Movement Saturday…
Line opens: 4.5
Majority of bets: 74% on UCLA
Line movement: Reverse 2 points
Ducks. (I swear on my soul this WILL be their last time if they don’t cash)
Final Score: Oregon 28, UCLA 21
(20) Texas @ (11) Oklahoma State: Texas -6
I saw a stat on Twitter yesterday about the Longhorns being 8-1 following the release of a Taylor Swift album. You know how much I hate crossover stats like that - Taylor Swift isn’t even from Texas! Thanks a lot Reverse Line Movement Saturday.
Line opens: 2.5 (in favor of OKSU)
Majority of bets: 73% on OKSU
Line movement: Reverse 8.5 points
Hook’em.
Final Score: Texas 42, Oklahoma State 32
(17) Kansas State @ (8) TCU: Under 54.5
3 Unders on the day? I can picture you all foaming at the mouth with how much you hate this. I hate it too. Reverse Line Movement Saturday, curse you!
Line opens: 63.5
Majority of bets: 78% on the over
Line movement: Reverse 9 points
The thickest of sacks.
Final Score: TCU 27, Kansas State 21
Running Record: (162-140-6)
PS: Free #PremiumMemberTickleTeaser for those who read this far. Because we can't necessarily trust how Vegas is opening lines (knowing they open them with the movement in mind), we're teasing the card today 7 points.
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